Conf = GMAC
Nickname = PA Griffins Coach = Brian NovoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.5264587 home-field advantage = -0.92 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Molloy ECC ( 8-10, 88.6) 11-10 217 A Roberts Wesleyan ECC (10- 6, 89.8) 16- 3 224 H Chestnut Hill CACC (11- 4, 89.7) 11- 2 302 A Indianapolis GLVC (11- 6, 94.6) 9-10 310 H Mercy ECC (13- 2, 95.4) 11-13 316 H Thomas More GMAC ( 2-10, 77.2) 24- 2 319 A Wheeling GMAC ( 7- 8, 85.1) 20- 6 323 H Lake Erie GMAC ( 8- 8, 86.3) 15-10 330 A Mercyhurst GMAC (13- 5, 93.0) 12-13 406 A Malone GMAC ( 8- 9, 83.1) 26-14 409 H Tiffin GMAC ( 4-10, 75.6) 27- 5 413 N Tampa SSC (18- 2, 99.5) 9-14 417 A Frostburg State ECC (13- 4, 91.5) 9-17 420 A Davis & Elkins GMAC ( 3-11, 74.1) 26- 1 423 H Walsh GMAC ( 6-10, 84.5) 19- 6 501 H Lake Erie GMAC ( 8- 8, 86.3) 15- 5 504 A Mercyhurst GMAC (13- 5, 93.0) 9-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Molloy 11-10 1 3 - -2.00 217 A Roberts Wesleyan 16- 3 13 1 ++ 5.17 224 H Chestnut Hill 11- 2 9 3 + 3.22 302 A Indianapolis 9-10 -1 -2 1.98 310 H Mercy 11-13 -2 -1 -0.06 316 H Thomas More 24- 2 22 16 0.00 319 A Wheeling 20- 6 14 6 0.42 323 H Lake Erie 15-10 5 7 - -2.00 330 A Mercyhurst 12-13 -1 -1 0.35 406 A Malone 26-14 12 8 0.00 409 H Tiffin 27- 5 22 17 0.00 413 N Tampa 9-14 -5 -6 1.93 417 A Frostburg State 9-17 -8 0 --- -7.16 420 A Davis & Elkins 26- 1 25 17 0.00 423 H Walsh 19- 6 13 8 0.00 501 H Lake Erie 15- 5 10 7 0.00 504 A Mercyhurst 9-12 -3 -1 -1.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Frostburg State 9-17 -8 0 --- -7.16 210 A Molloy 11-10 1 3 - -2.00 323 H Lake Erie 15-10 5 7 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Roberts Wesleyan 16- 3 13 1 ++ 5.17 224 H Chestnut Hill 11- 2 9 3 + 3.22
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 92.55 Power Rank................. 23 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 72.41 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 53 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6533 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 18 RPI Rating............... .5652 RPI Rank................... 19 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 28 Selection sum ........... 62 Selection Rank ............ 19 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -40. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 27 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -20. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 25 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.7